Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 6.704769 7.764983 8.900773 10.203779 11.652914 13.210723 15.007507
2025-03-30 5.161075 6.593483 8.243755 10.268099 12.665964 15.397038 18.723148
2025-04-06 3.843812 5.407932 7.340583 9.863420 13.025861 16.813802 21.644748
2025-04-13 2.861742 4.432466 6.510394 9.386694 13.183848 17.940541 24.255050
2025-04-20 2.421376 4.076894 6.398003 9.770311 14.411514 20.433889 28.679204
2025-04-27 2.188381 3.964142 6.581488 10.541844 16.181808 23.710730 34.274198
2025-05-04 1.946676 3.788574 6.637581 11.116820 17.700579 26.719350 39.654690
2025-05-11 1.634080 3.437677 6.374751 11.180608 18.476612 28.734546 43.772892
2025-05-18 1.314881 3.009939 5.925686 10.898860 18.701916 29.963072 46.834447
2025-05-25 1.065085 2.653886 5.538250 10.658074 18.944755 31.197430 49.923546
2025-06-01 0.889884 2.403197 5.291923 10.608988 19.457310 32.823195 53.608665
2025-06-08 0.737512 2.164468 5.030476 10.499022 19.849327 34.267337 57.063542
2025-06-15 0.676576 2.120424 5.137042 11.052743 21.375202 37.537259 63.404326
2025-06-22 0.579398 1.968884 5.013879 11.182719 22.206346 39.774966 68.290748
2025-06-29 0.452525 1.706973 4.626714 10.784127 22.110153 40.548741 70.980316
2025-07-06 0.343745 1.455574 4.216982 10.291512 21.803589 40.955520 73.101111
2025-07-13 0.311425 1.416914 4.272947 10.715251 23.139649 44.070559 79.543943
2025-07-20 0.305601 1.460433 4.524247 11.551553 25.261274 48.548281 88.264693
2025-07-27 0.287615 1.459047 4.667463 12.173485 27.017011 52.473631 96.210862
2025-08-03 0.244965 1.358388 4.553416 12.244413 27.750812 54.709214 101.509256
2025-08-10 0.193894 1.204845 4.279392 11.943005 27.758924 55.706934 104.825538
2025-08-17 0.153638 1.073455 4.038248 11.684911 27.825106 56.793347 108.302589
2025-08-24 0.126600 0.984527 3.896271 11.632567 28.280697 58.558858 112.931228